Vom Anbieter Markt für Markt abgerechnet
Entschieden: 30.10.2026, 21:25
Dieses Ereignis hat keinen einzelnen Gewinner. Der Anbieter hat jeden Markt einzeln abgerechnet; jeder Markt zeigt sein eigenes Ergebnis.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 30.10.2026, 21:48 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
October 31100%
December 31100%
December 31Gewonnen
October 31Gewonnen
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
After the Binance hack, will the S&P 500 or Nasdaq drop sharply by Nov 3, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the alleged 2022/11/11 FTX hack turn out to be an inside job?
Manifold MarketsBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiBitcoin Up or Down on October 31?
PolymarketEthereum Up or Down on October 31?
PolymarketWill bitcoin reach 81000 by 10/31/2026 11:59pm
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This is a market on whether any crypto project or exchange suffers an exploit or hack of value at least $100 million USD equivalent between the creation of this market and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Decentralized exchanges and lending protocol hacks will count.
- If a potentially qualifying hack has occurred within market timeframe, but the market’s resolution source has not been updated as of the market’s specified end date, the market may remain open for up to 7 calendar days ET allowing for an update.
- If no update occurs, the market will resolve according to the data already available.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the Rekt News leaderboard (https://rekt.news/leaderboard/), however a credible consensus of reporting may also be used.