Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
15% to 24% 80%Führend unter 6 Optionen
15% to 24% 80%Marktqualitat
26 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
83,8 €
Liquidität
53,3 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
73.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 24 Minuten
1. Okt. 26, 13:00 UTC8. Okt. 26, 13:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Indiana corn yield exceed 205 bushels per acre in 2027?
KalshiWill the global average yield of corn exceed 5.9 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year?
ForecastExWill the global average yield of corn exceed 5.96 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year?
ForecastExWill the global average yield of corn exceed 6.01 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year?
ForecastExWill the global average yield of corn exceed 6.06 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year?
ForecastExRegeln
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported D1-D4 drought percentage for corn acreage in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 6, 2026.
- Brackets: Under 15% / 15% to 24% / 25% to 34% / 35% to 44% / 45% to 54% / the named outcome.
- Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
- D1-D4 is the cumulative share of national corn acreage in moderate drought (D1) or worse, which is the "D1-D4" column the source publishes.
- Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
- The first value published for that week is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff.