Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 88%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet4. Mai 26, 20:35 UTC31. Mai 28, 23:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Vic NEM 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$115/MWh?
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KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES if the Australian National Electricity Market (NEM) Victoria region time-weighted annual average wholesale spot price for calendar year 2027 exceeds A$105/MWh, as reported by AEMO in its Quarterly Energy Dynamics Q4 2027 release and the 2027 calendar-year summary on the AEMO data dashboard.
- Resolution evaluated once on the settlement date against the published figure.
- Settlement: 31 May 2028 — about five months after year-end, allowing AEMO time to publish confirmed calendar-year averages.
- Created: 2026-05-04
- The forward drivers, project schedules, and strike calibration below reflect public information available on the creation date.
- Coal-plant retirement dates, transmission and storage commissioning, gas-supply contracts, capacity auctions, and policy interventions in electricity markets have moved repeatedly in both directions over the past several years and are likely to continue moving.
Offene Märkte
China
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- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
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- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
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- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
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POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
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- 11.908,2 €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+4.5pt71.3%
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- Z.ai-0.8pt1%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Vic NEM 2027 annual average wholesale price exceed A$105/MWh??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 88% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Vic NEM 2027 annual average wholesale price exceed A$105/MWh? entschieden?
- Will Vic NEM 2027 annual average wholesale price exceed A$105/MWh? soll am 31. Mai 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Vic NEM 2027 annual average wholesale price exceed A$105/MWh? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if the Australian National Electricity Market (NEM) Victoria region time-weighted annual average wholesale spot price for calendar year 2027 exceeds A$105/MWh, as reported by AEMO in its Quarterly Energy Dynamics Q4 2027 release and the 2027 calendar-year summary on the AEMO data dashboard.