Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 93.2%
Prognostiker
48
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 47 Minuten
Verzogert28. Aug. 23, 00:00 UTC1. Jan. 28, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Real Estate Prices in the US increase by at least 25% by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?
PolymarketWill Dubai Real Estate Index reach a new all-time high in 2026?
LimitlessWhat level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?
LimitlessWill US residential real estate be disintermediated by end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsThe CCP executes a leading executive from a real estate company before end of 2026
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Fred Harrison has a theory called the "18 year land cycle", and claims to have correctly predicted the housing crash in 2008 and one in the 1990s:
- https://www.dailymail.co.uk/yourmoney/property/article-12446057/Why-house-prices-set-soar-two-years-CRASH-claims-expert-accurately-predicted-property-market-collapse-2008-1990s.html
- He's currently predicting we'll see a major real estate crash in 2026.
- This market resolves YES if three conditions are held:
- Real estate prices peak in 2026
- Real estate prices at the end of 2026 are below the peak
