Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 94.2%
Prognostiker
48
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet28. Aug. 23, 00:00 UTC1. Jan. 28, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Real Estate Prices in the US increase by at least 25% by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?
PolymarketWill Dubai Real Estate Index reach a new all-time high in 2026?
LimitlessWhat level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?
LimitlessWill US Housing Starts exceed 1,100,000 in September 2026? (Real estate)?
ForecastExWill US Housing Starts exceed 1,200,000 in September 2026? (Real estate)?
ForecastExRegeln
Fred Harrison has a theory called the "18 year land cycle", and claims to have correctly predicted the housing crash in 2008 and one in the 1990s:
- https://www.dailymail.co.uk/yourmoney/property/article-12446057/Why-house-prices-set-soar-two-years-CRASH-claims-expert-accurately-predicted-property-market-collapse-2008-1990s.html
- He's currently predicting we'll see a major real estate crash in 2026.
- This market resolves YES if three conditions are held:
- Real estate prices peak in 2026
- Real estate prices at the end of 2026 are below the peak
Offene Märkte
Macro & Economy
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes+2.0pt8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 36.153,4 €
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+7.0pt59%
- Above $4.80+11.0pt45%
- Above $5.00+5.0pt35%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above+1.1pt52%
- 8,200 or above+6.5pt28%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1 Mio. €
KALSHIWill the S&P finish positive this year?
- Yes-3.0pt84%
- No16%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 919.233,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 8743,4 €
KALSHIUS SPR level for the week ending September 11, 2026
- Above 280M91%
- Above 281M91%
- Above 286M7%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 7778 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7778 €
KALSHIPoland rate decision in October
- Maintain current rate+6.0pt82.3%
- Hike 1-25bps+2.0pt7.8%
- Cut 1-25bps-1.0pt5.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- How high will gas prices in California get this year?
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- Visitors to Florida in 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- Fear & Greed Index on Sep 11, 2026?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- How low will the S&P get this year?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 94% (Stand: 11. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026? entschieden?
- Will there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Fred Harrison has a theory called the "18 year land cycle", and claims to have correctly predicted the housing crash in 2008 and one in the 1990s: