Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 62%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet13. März 26, 13:47 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China have active, unresumed export controls on graphite anode material (HS 3801.10/3801.90) on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China have active export controls on zirconium oxychloride (ZOC) on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRussia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?
PolymarketUS Average DIESEL Price Is $6.4000 or more on Election Day 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the United States enacts new export controls on energy products (including but not limited to crude oil, refined petroleum products, natural gas, LNG, coal, or uranium) at any point during 2026.
- This includes executive orders, regulatory changes, or legislation that restrict or limit the export of these commodities.
- Resolution is based on official announcements from the Department of Energy, Department of Commerce, or other relevant federal agencies, or passage of legislation by Congress.
- The market resolves NO if no such controls are enacted by December 31, 2026.
- Owing to potential for subjectivity, I will not trade on this market.
