Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?
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Verzogert2. März 26, 18:09 UTC29. Sept. 26, 18:08 UTC
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KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES if authoritative sources such as USGS, IEA, or major industry reports confirm that the Zimbabwe export ban causes a reduction in global lithium supply exceeding 10,000 tonnes (kt) on September 29, 2026.
- This includes verified production or export shortfalls directly attributable to the ban, impacting global lithium feedstock availability.
- The threshold of 10 kt is near expected supply impact estimates, reflecting a meaningful disruption given Zimbabwe's role in spodumene supply.
- Minor fluctuations or unrelated supply changes do not count.
- Resolution will rely on official government announcements, mining company disclosures, or recognized market intelligence published on or shortly after the settlement date.
- Zimbabwe's export ban removes a significant portion of global lithium feedstock.
Offene Märkte
CommoditiesPOLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $100+42.5pt100%
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
+33 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 6,1 Mio. €
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- 309.671,2 €
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- Above 4.440099%
- Above 4.455099%
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+14 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 104.265,2 €
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- 103.737,5 €
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- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt35%
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- 7,5 Mio. €
KALSHINatural gas price on September 25, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $1.09999%
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+37 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 97.026,2 €
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- 96.701,1 €
KALSHIHow high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- $115.01 or above-2.2pt36%
- $120.01 or above-5.6pt31%
- $125.01 or above-2.7pt27%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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- Above $4.60+1.0pt67%
- Above $4.80-4.0pt49%
- Above $5.00+3.0pt40%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 77% (Stand: 22. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026? entschieden?
- Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026? soll am 29. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if authoritative sources such as USGS, IEA, or major industry reports confirm that the Zimbabwe export ban causes a reduction in global lithium supply exceeding 10,000 tonnes (kt) on September 29, 2026.