Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 82%
Prognostiker
0
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet31. März 26, 16:22 UTC30. Juni 27, 04:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by June 30, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill China's suspension of its October 2025 rare-earth export controls still be in effect on November 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketTaipei Mayor Election Winner
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves YES if, by June 30, 2027, all Kachin State border crossings have been closed to rare earth trade for 30+ consecutive days due to a breakdown in the KIA-China commercial relationship.
- YES if by June 30, 2027:
- All Kachin border crossings closed to RE trade for 30+ consecutive days
- Closure caused by KIA-China diplomatic/commercial breakdown (not weather/logistics)
- No 30+ day consecutive halt has occurred by June 30, 2027
- Any closures were shorter than 30 days or caused by non-commercial factors
