Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 69%
Prognostiker
22
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet3. Apr. 23, 04:54 UTC2. Sept. 28, 00:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the first WaPo article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Manifold MarketsWill the first BBC article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Manifold MarketsWill the first Reuters article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Manifold MarketsAtpmatch MUSO 26 Ftiaamic
Robinhood (Rothera)BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
PolymarketRegeln
Mentioning assassination markets does not need to involve the word "assassination", as long as there's a clear reference to the moral hazard and potential controversy.
- To count, the article must be substantially about Manifold Markets as a place for prediction markets.
- As in other contexts, I'll use "33% of the length is actually about Manifold" as a rough threshold, but I reserve the right to adjust if I decide that rule is inappropriate on a case-by-case basis.
- I'll not be betting in this market, of course.
Offene Märkte
ExchangeROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Ftiaamic
- AMIC+38.0pt78.4%
- FTIA-37.0pt21.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4,6 Mio. €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Bshecalc
- CALC76.7%
- BSHE+1.0pt23.3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 459.836,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 459.836,8 €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Quarter Finals match
- Jessica Pegula76.7%
- Emma Navarro23.3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 123.558,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 384.875,7 €
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.6pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,250 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,500 or above97%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 161.736,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 158.148,5 €
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- How high will BTC get in September?
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Mandcgau
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Qzheeryb
- BNB price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What chain will LAPTOP launch on?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Kkhaablo
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the first CNN article about Manifold mention assassination markets??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 69% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the first CNN article about Manifold mention assassination markets? entschieden?
- Will the first CNN article about Manifold mention assassination markets? soll am 2. September 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the first CNN article about Manifold mention assassination markets? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Mentioning assassination markets does not need to involve the word "assassination", as long as there's a clear reference to the moral hazard and potential controversy.