Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 63.6%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert18. Aug. 26, 18:23 UTC11. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, during any single standard trading session from the time of market creation through November 12, 2026, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) closes at least 1,000.00 points higher or at least 1,000.00 points lower than its close from the immediately preceding trading session.
- Otherwise, if no such trading session occurs by the end of the regular trading day on November 12, 2026, this market will resolve to NO.
- Source of Truth: The official daily closing price of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) as reported on Yahoo Finance or Bloomberg.
- Formula: Resolution is determined by the absolute difference between the closing price of day $t$ and the closing price of day $t-1$: $$|\text{Close}{t} - \text{Close}{t-1}| \ge 1,000.00$$
- Scope: Only official daily closing values are considered.
