Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026?

PolitikOne-OffUS Politics Wahl

Manifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Yes (46.3%)

Entschieden: 19.08.2026, 08:24

Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung

CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Nein 53.7%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

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Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert gestern

Veraltet

12. Aug. 26, 4:5518. Aug. 26, 23:59

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Yes46.3%

No53.7%

Nein

53.7%

46.3%

Regeln

A nonpartisan primary election will be held on August 18, 2026, from which the top four candidates will advance to the general election, which will be conducted under ranked-choice voting.

Resolves yes if he (Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. (Republican)[a], former U.S. Forest Service employee[9][3] (no relation to the incumbent)) advances based on votes recieved in the primary.
Any legal challenge based on his name does not affect the outcome.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Alaska

Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026?

PolitikOne-OffUS Politics Wahl

Manifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Yes (46.3%)

Entschieden: 19.08.2026, 08:24

Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung

CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Nein 53.7%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

binary

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert gestern

Veraltet

12. Aug. 26, 4:5518. Aug. 26, 23:59

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Yes46.3%

No53.7%

Nein

53.7%

46.3%

Regeln

A nonpartisan primary election will be held on August 18, 2026, from which the top four candidates will advance to the general election, which will be conducted under ranked-choice voting.

Resolves yes if he (Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. (Republican)[a], former U.S. Forest Service employee[9][3] (no relation to the incumbent)) advances based on votes recieved in the primary.
Any legal challenge based on his name does not affect the outcome.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Alaska

Häufige Fragen

Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026??: Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 54% (Stand: 20. August 2026).
Wann wird Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026? entschieden?: Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026? soll am 18. August 2026 entschieden werden.
Wie wird Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026? abgerechnet?: Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: A nonpartisan primary election will be held on August 18, 2026, from which the top four candidates will advance to the general election, which will be conducted under ranked-choice voting.

Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026?

Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026?

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