Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 75.4%
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Stunden
Veraltet27. Mai 26, 17:33 UTC31. Dez. 49, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a Nobel prize be awarded for the invention of AGI before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill either a Nobel Prize in Economics or a Turing Award be awarded to Satoshi Nakamoto before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?
Manifold MarketsAssuming Robin Hanson is awarded the nobel prize, which of his research areas will it be related to?
Manifold MarketsSuper Ballon d'Or awarded before 2030
KalshiWho will win the men's 2025/2026 Ballon d’Or?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This resolves to YES if the Nobel Foundation announces that a Nobel Prize has been awarded to Tufts University biologist Michael Levin.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Nobel Foundation officially announces that a Nobel Prize has been awarded to Tufts University biologist Michael Levin.
- Source of Truth: Official announcements published on NobelPrize.org.
- Timeframe: If the Nobel Foundation announces him as a laureate on or before the market's closing date (1/1/2050), this market will resolve to YES.
- If no such announcement has occurred by the market's close, it will resolve to NO.
