Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 65.1%
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
18. Juli 26, 14:27 UTC31. Dez. 99, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Manifold Market be shut down for corruption (stealing trades off the books) and swaying outcomes by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will manifold shut down?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Manifold shut down?(READ DESC)
Manifold MarketsIf a third party starts allowing Manifold users to cash out their mana for real money, will Manifold shut it down?
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PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point prior to January 1, 2100 (12:00 AM UTC), the prediction market platform Manifold (currently located at manifold.markets) permanently shuts down.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO on January 1, 2100.
- "Permanently shut down" is defined by meeting at least one of the following conditions:
- The platform's parent company (Manifold Markets, Inc. or its corporate successor) formally dissolves, goes bankrupt, or liquidates, and the prediction market platform ceases operations with no successor platform taking its place.
- The platform's web domain and services remain entirely offline or non-functional for a continuous period of at least 12 consecutive months, with no official public statement from the operators indicating an intent to resume service.
