Warnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 20:28 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 88.8%
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet26. Feb. 25, 08:09 UTC31. Dez. 30, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Manifold create an actual Manifold Mobile App before July 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Manifold changes loans to stop using cost basis, will this change retroactively affect earlier bets?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiBNB price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price range on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves yes if at any time before EOY 2030, there is an official and publicly accessible system on the Manifold website and/or app that:
- Allows players to lend mana to each other.
- Forces the players that were loaned some mana to pay the amount they have to pay at the due date (If they can't pay it off entirely, they have to be forced to pay as much of it as possible).
- (If the players can renegotiate the terms of the contract before the due date, this will still resolve yes.)
- Update 2025-02-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Important Resolution Clarification:
- The system must force repayment in such a way that the lender receives at least as much as the borrower can provide.
