Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 95.7%
Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 23 Stunden
Veraltet6. Jan. 26, 10:01 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will an artificial intelligence or digital person be named as a party in a criminal trial in the USA by EOY 2048?
Manifold MarketsWill an artificial intelligence or digital person be named as a party in a criminal trial in the USA by EOY 2038?
Manifold MarketsNicolás Maduro released from custody by which date?
PolymarketMaduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump pardon Nicolás Maduro or commute his sentence in 2026?
PredictItEnd of 2026, will Tumbles think it was good Trump unilaterally removed Maduro?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
To be resolved as true if the trial starts during 2026 in American soil.
- Clarification: I mean the formal star of the trial (eg the swearing of the jury for a trial with jury)
- Update 2026-07-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will resolve based on any trial whatsoever, including trials for minor or unrelated charges.
