Aktuelle Community-Prognose
2055 or later (or never) 81.7%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet7. Okt. 25, 01:18 UTC2. Jan. 35, 00:50 UTC
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
Resolves YES if a credible empirical argument can be made that at some point at least 50% of all Americans who are age 30-40 own cryptocurrency.
- IMPORTANT CLARIFICATIONS:
- This market only cares about Americans aged 30-40
- Resolves only to the earliest applicable option (the 'ever' in the title is clickbait)
- Judging resolution will be biased in favour of a YES resolution (and biased towards the earlier options)
- More Clarifications: