Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 65.2%
Prognostiker
63
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet1. Feb. 24, 11:25 UTC13. Okt. 26, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ?
Manifold MarketsWill A Class Action Lawsuit Be Filed Against Manifold or ManiPlay By End Of 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketWill chess be solved by 2040?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiFIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner
KalshiRegeln
I have a seperate question where you are able to add your own answers for possible moves for yourself, I will play as white and each move will be chosen by whichever answer has the highest probability, this market resolves when the chess game ends.
- NOTE: If the game is a draw I have not one so it resolves as NO, and If there are two of the same move then the one with the higher probability is chosen.
Offene Märkte
SportsKALSHISekulic vs Matsuda
- Philip Sekulic58.2%
- Koki Matsuda+7.0pt41.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4,5 Mio. €
KALSHIAmgen Irish Open Winner
- Joaquin Niemann+18.7pt19.5%
- Rory McIlroy11%
- Jon Rahm-1.4pt5.1%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 5,4 Mio. €
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R-1.0pt14%
- Buffalo+1.0pt7.9%
- Seattle-1.0pt6.1%
+29 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 78 Mio. €
KALSHITampa Bay vs Atlanta
- Atlanta-3.0pt50.5%
- Tampa Bay+2.0pt49.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,6 Mio. €
KALSHIFenerbahce vs Roma
- Roma-6.0pt40.4%
- Tie+9.0pt37.4%
- Fenerbahce-7.0pt22.2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHISan Francisco vs Los Angeles R
- Los Angeles R64.4%
- San Francisco35.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,9 Mio. €
- FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt
- Trevisan vs Maristany Zuleta de Reales
- Manchester United vs Sabah Masazir
- Amgen Irish Open End of Round 1 Leader
- Eindhoven vs Shakhtar
- Tampa Bay vs Atlanta: Total Runs
- Lagutin vs Alcala Gurri
- San Francisco vs Los Angeles: Spread
- UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Bayern Munich vs Bodoe/Glimt
- MVP Winner?
- US Open Men's Singles Winner
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will I win a game of chess against Manifold? (see other poll)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 65% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will I win a game of chess against Manifold? (see other poll) entschieden?
- Will I win a game of chess against Manifold? (see other poll) soll am 13. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will I win a game of chess against Manifold? (see other poll) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: I have a seperate question where you are able to add your own answers for possible moves for yourself, I will play as white and each move will be chosen by whichever answer has the highest probability, this market resolves when the chess game ends.