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Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?
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Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.
- For 2023, Berkeley Earth reported global warming was 1.54 °C. This question resolves YES if Berkeley Earth reports that annual average warming is equal to or higher than 1.50 degrees Celsius in 2029.
- For easy reference, here are Berkeley Earth's past numbers going back to 2010:
- [image]Same question but for:
Offene Märkte
Weather
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 26°C0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 141.050,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 129.051,1 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+77.4pt100%
- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
- 18°C-4.0pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 72.154,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 71.773,9 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston64%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 71.632,8 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 77% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth? entschieden?
- Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth? soll am 13. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.