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Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2028, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2028, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Oct 27, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 27, 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.
- For 2023, Berkeley Earth reported global warming was 1.54 °C. This question resolves YES if Berkeley Earth reports that annual average warming is equal to or higher than 1.50 degrees Celsius in 2029.
- For easy reference, here are Berkeley Earth's past numbers going back to 2010:
- [image]Same question but for: