Will El Niño break NOAA's all-time record? The official ONI value for Aug–Oct 2026 (record: +2.59)

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Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will El Niño break NOAA's all-time record? The official ONI value for Aug–Oct 2026 (record: +2.59)?

Manifold Markets bewertet +2.60 or higher (new record) mit 41% (Stand: 26. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Will El Niño break NOAA's all-time record? The official ONI value for Aug–Oct 2026 (record: +2.59) entschieden?

Will El Niño break NOAA's all-time record? The official ONI value for Aug–Oct 2026 (record: +2.59) soll am 12. November 2026 entschieden werden.

Wie wird Will El Niño break NOAA's all-time record? The official ONI value for Aug–Oct 2026 (record: +2.59) abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Question: What value will NOAA publish for the Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) for August–September–October 2026 (ASO 2026)?

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KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 26, 2026?

• Seattle+19.0pt99.5%
• West Palm Beach+9.0pt99.5%
• Denver+19.0pt99.5%

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489.209,5 €

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440.411,6 €

KALSHI

Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 26, 2026?

• 68° to 69°+36.0pt99.5%
• 70° to 71°-19.0pt0.5%
• 67° or below-14.0pt

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 26, 2026?

• 48° to 49°+61.0pt99.5%
• 47° or below-36.0pt0.5%
• 50° to 51°-16.0pt

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 26, 2026?

• 77° to 78°+35.0pt99.5%
• 79° or above-12.0pt0.5%
• 75° to 76°-20.0pt

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 26, 2026?

• 83° to 84°+32.0pt99.5%
• 81° to 82°-19.0pt0.5%
• 85° to 86°-13.0pt

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 27, 2026?

• Minneapolis98.5%
• West Palm Beach95.5%
• Seattle90.5%

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