Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 71.2%
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
25. Juni 25, 22:35 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Kai Cenat become a billionaire before 2030?
KalshiWill Avraham Eisenberg become a billionaire before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill I become a billionaire before 2053?
Manifold MarketsWill one of the July 2023 Atlas Fellows Become A billionaire by the age of 30?
Manifold MarketsWill a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end?
Manifold MarketsWill the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
KalshiRegeln
Will Roy Lee become a billionaire before the year 2029?
- Inspired by this dude's post on X. He (Tim Denning) seems to believe that Roy Lee, the college-dropout-turned-supposed-Silicon-Valley-wunderkind behind Cluely, a yet released AI "cheating app", is set to become a billionaire by 2029.
- So much so, in fact, that he claims he "bet his life savings" on it...
- [image]While this is pretty obvious hyperbole, I thought it'd be interesting to create this market and allow him (and others) to put their money where their mouth is, as the replies to the thread on X have been quite contentious and entertaining, to say the least.
- Given that said thread basically consists of some poorly written slop that comes across as a bizarre hybrid between marketing copy for Cluely/Roy Lee's "outspoken" persona and an advertisement for Tim Denning's own paid course or eBook or whatever, I'm doubt that Tim will be dropping any real cash.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- 200-219+29.0pt91%
- 220-239-14.3pt5%
- 180-199-12.7pt4%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 613.980,6 €
POLYMARKETVariational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $200M-0.3pt98%
- $100M-0.7pt98%
- $300M-0.1pt96%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhat will Costco say during their next earnings call?
- GLP-1 / GLP 1+64.0pt99%
- Tariff+3.0pt99%
- Churro+57.0pt99%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?
- 180-199+3.0pt30.9%
- 160-179+3.0pt23.7%
- 200-219-7.0pt16.5%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
- No69%
- Yes+3.0pt31%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 935.536,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 28.502,2 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T-1.1pt25.5%
- $2.25–$2.5T21.6%
- $1.75–$2.0T+3.0pt19.6%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest Company end of September?
- Colorado permitted housing units in 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Tencent market share this week
- Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026
- Monster Energy Point of Sale Growth in September
- Dr. Pepper Point of Sale Growth in September
- Coca-Cola Point of Sale Growth in September
- Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Xiaomi market share this week
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Roy Lee become a billionaire before 2029??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 71.2% (Stand: 25. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Roy Lee become a billionaire before 2029? entschieden?
- Will Roy Lee become a billionaire before 2029? soll am 31. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Roy Lee become a billionaire before 2029? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Will Roy Lee become a billionaire before the year 2029?
- Wo wird Will Roy Lee become a billionaire before 2029? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi gelistet.