Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 71.8%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 40 Minuten
4. Jan. 26, 14:13 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
PolymarketMaría Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
PolymarketWho will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill María Corina Machado visit Venezuela?
KalshiFree & Fair Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsVenezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
https://x.com/ArmchairW/status/2007504591861231918
- Update 2026-01-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the general gist of the post, not on whether every single prediction is correct.
- Individual incorrect predictions will not necessarily cause the market to resolve NO.
Offene Märkte
Latin AmericaPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 125,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 603.101,8 €
POLYMARKETTrump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- December 31-20.5pt8%
- September 30-5.5pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 82.411,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 82.411,8 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.5pt90%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-0.1pt8%
- Renan Santos-0.5pt1%
+15 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBrazil Presidential election winner?
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt50.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+4.0pt42.1%
- Jair Bolsonaro+0.6pt2.8%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETParaná Governor Election Winner
- Sergio Moro-0.5pt82.8%
- Sandro Alex-1.0pt17.2%
- Requião Filho-0.3pt0%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro85.6%
- Delcy Rodríguez-1.0pt12.4%
- María Corina Machado+0.1pt1%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
- Mercyhurst vs New Mexico
- Piauí Governor Election Winner
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
- Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
- Tucuman vs River Plate
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Armchair Warlord's post on Venezuela stand up by the end of the year??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 72% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Armchair Warlord's post on Venezuela stand up by the end of the year? entschieden?
- Will Armchair Warlord's post on Venezuela stand up by the end of the year? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Armchair Warlord's post on Venezuela stand up by the end of the year? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: https://x.com/ArmchairW/status/2007504591861231918