Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseOmar M. Yaghi 100%Führend unter 31 Optionen
Prognostiker
27
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet10. Okt. 23, 05:21 UTC2. Jan. 30, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will become President through 2033? [Unlinked Free Response - Correct Options Resolve Early]
Manifold MarketsWho are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response]
Manifold MarketsWhat's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [FREE RESPONSE]
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Literature: 2026
KalshiNobel Prize in Economics 2026
KalshiBallon d'Or Winner 2026
PolymarketRegeln
Any laureate who wins a Nobel prize will resolve YES at the time of winning.
- The others will resolve NO by the market close.
- Only prizes received after 2023 (when this market opened) count.
Offene Märkte
AwardsPOLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-0.5pt62.4%
- Lamine Yamal+2.2pt15.8%
- Kylian Mbappé-0.3pt10.9%
+28 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 680.343,1 €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ncaafheisman 26
- DMEN+2.0pt17%
- AMAN11%
- CCAR10%
+28 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 117.578,7 €
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
- Harry Kane+0.3pt94%
- Lamine Yamal-8.0pt75%
- Kylian Mbappé+6.5pt65%
+28 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIThe Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Grand Theft Auto VI-1.0pt63.3%
- Resident Evil Requiem-2.0pt11%
- Control Resonant7.3%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
GEMINIWho will win the Ballon d'Or this year?
- Harry Kane63.5%
- Lamine Yamal15.5%
- Kylian Mbappe12.5%
+28 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 107.683,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2955 €
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative
- Olivia Rodrigo62.1%
- twenty one pilots+5.0pt14.7%
- Noah Kahan9.5%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28.692,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1673,3 €
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best K-Pop
- MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner
- MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Song of The Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Latin
- MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year
- 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Collaboration
- Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
- Who will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026?
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Country
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Omar M. Yaghi mit 100% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response] entschieden?
- Who will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response] soll am 2. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response] abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Any laureate who wins a Nobel prize will resolve YES at the time of winning.