Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseBest Director 97.1%Führend unter 18 Optionen
Prognostiker
34
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet21. Juli 26, 01:21 UTC15. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will "Michael" receive any Oscar nominations?
Manifold MarketsWill "Project Hail Mary" receive more Oscar nominations than "Dune: Part Three"?
Manifold MarketsWhich film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
PolymarketOscars 2027: Will an actor or actress receive 2+ nominations in the same category?
Manifold MarketsOscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
PolymarketOscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
PolymarketRegeln
For the Acting categories, the option resolves YES only for the exact combination of [actor] x [lead/supporting].
- I.e., if Anne Hathaway is nominated for lead actress, then "the named outcome" does not resolve YES.
- For all non-acting categories, all that matters is the category itself.
- (The logic is that it's not very interesting to try and figure out exactly which producers will get "nominated" for the named outcome, so I won't bother with attribution, but with acting it's interesting to break exactly who gets submitted and where).
- This may close before nominations are announced.
Offene Märkte
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 319.774,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 98.048,5 €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.986 €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 130.628,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.327 €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4 Mio. €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which Oscar nominations will "The Odyssey" receive??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Best Director mit 97% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which Oscar nominations will "The Odyssey" receive? entschieden?
- Which Oscar nominations will "The Odyssey" receive? soll am 15. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which Oscar nominations will "The Odyssey" receive? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: For the Acting categories, the option resolves YES only for the exact combination of [actor] x [lead/supporting].