Manifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Bolivia (100%)
Entschieden: 01.07.2026, 05:33
Nicht verifizierte Auflösungsdaten
Dieses Ergebnis ist abgeleitet oder nicht durch anbietergestützte Auflösungsnachweise gedeckt.
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseBolivia 100%Führend unter 29 Optionen
Prognostiker
44
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 27 Tagen
Veraltet29. Nov. 23, 20:201. Juli 26, 3:59
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Afghanistan3.3%
Algeria4.1%
Bangladesh3.3%
Brunei2%
Comoros1.2%
Cuba2.2%
Djibouti2%
Indonesia3.8%
Iran3.7%
Iraq3.2%
Kuwait4.2%
Lebanon4.3%
Libya3.6%
Malaysia3%
Maldives3.3%
Mali3.4%
Mauritania4.5%
Niger3.3%
North Korea2.7%
Oman5.6%
Pakistan1.9%
Qatar4.1%
Saudi Arabia4.4%
Somalia2.6%
Syria1.9%
Tunisia3.3%
Venezuela1.8%
Yemen4.5%
Bolivia100%
1.8%
2%
2.2%
2%
1.2%
2.2%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· Bolivia
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt78% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 0% | — | 95.275,4 € | 0 € | vor 21 Tagen | Öffnen → |
| Manifold MarketsDiese Seite | — | 100% | — | — | — | vor 27 Tagen |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
Geschlossen
0%
0%
-0.9pt0%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
23 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen3,3 Mio. €
24h-Volumen95.275,4 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
Note: this is the short-term version of this great market by @Panfilo @/Panfilo/which-of-these-states-will-recogniz
- This market will defer to that market's resolution, since this timespan is a subset of theirs.
- So barring very extreme circumstances, nothing will change here unless it changes upstream.
- Here are the rules I copied from that market, but overall, we obey the decisions of that market, if there is a conflict or difficulty.
- I will add items they add there, too.
- Any number of these states can resolve YES at any time between now and the due date.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$1.8k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? — NoZamamiTurtlevor 24 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? — NoZamamiTurtlevor 24 Tagen$10.0k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? — NoTrustinghorsevor 24 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? — NoTrustinghorsevor 24 Tagen$2.0k98.4%POLYMARKETNoJasonPunosvor 27 Tagen
POLYMARKETNoJasonPunosvor 27 Tagen$10.3k93.2%POLYMARKETNoscottiliciousvor 27 Tagen
POLYMARKETNoscottiliciousvor 27 Tagen$1.6k93.1%POLYMARKETNoOnePiece7vor 27 Tagen
POLYMARKETNoOnePiece7vor 27 Tagen$1.6k93.1%POLYMARKETNojklsjdwoqejasdfvor 28 Tagen
POLYMARKETNojklsjdwoqejasdfvor 28 TagenVerwandte Märkte
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
2,3 Mio. €July 31: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
690.013,1 €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
528.835,8 €August 31: 70%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
89.881,7 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 8%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
37.688 €Above 50: 19%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
17.623,9 €Ja: 10%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Note: this is the short-term version of this great market by @Panfilo @/Panfilo/which-of-these-states-will-recogniz
- This market will defer to that market's resolution, since this timespan is a subset of theirs.
- So barring very extreme circumstances, nothing will change here unless it changes upstream.
- Here are the rules I copied from that market, but overall, we obey the decisions of that market, if there is a conflict or difficulty.
- I will add items they add there, too.
- Any number of these states can resolve YES at any time between now and the due date.