Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseRo Khanna 81.7%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-8.3 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet9. Juni 26, 07:25 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?
KalshiWho will run for President of the United States in 2028?
Manifold Markets🗣️Who will run for president in the 2028 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWhich of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
PolymarketWill Rubio and Vance run for President?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market is an independent multiple-choice market.
- Each option representing an individual candidate will resolve independently to YES or NO based on whether that individual officially runs for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle.
- YES Resolution: An individual will resolve to YES if they publicly announce their candidacy for President of the United States for the 2028 election, or if they formally file a Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) with the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
- NO Resolution: If an individual does not officially declare candidacy or file a Form 2, they will resolve to NO.
- Exploratory Committees: Simply launching a presidential exploratory committee does not qualify as running unless followed by an official declaration of candidacy or an FEC Form 2 filing.
Offene Märkte
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
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- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which 2026 NEWSMAKER will run for president in 2028?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Ro Khanna mit 81.7% (Stand: 22. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which 2026 NEWSMAKER will run for president in 2028 entschieden?
- Which 2026 NEWSMAKER will run for president in 2028 soll am 31. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which 2026 NEWSMAKER will run for president in 2028 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria