Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseBefore 2030 94.5%+12.2ptFührend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+12.2 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet12. Nov. 25, 12:20 UTC2. Feb. 30, 12:12 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Super Smash Bros. Melee come to Nintendo Switch Online before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Nintendo announce a new mainline Super Smash Bros. game before Jan 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat year will the next Super Smash Bros. game be released?
Manifold MarketsWho will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
PolymarketWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
PolymarketPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRegeln
A remake / deluxe re-release / remaster / switch 2 edition / port / virtual console release / etc. of an older game doesn't count - it has to be a new game.
- This is a cumulative market, and each answer resolves independently, so e.g. if it releases in 2028 sometime, "the named outcome" and "the named outcome" will resolve NO, and the others will resolve Yes.
Offene Märkte
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 319.774,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 98.048,5 €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.986 €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 130.628,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.327 €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4 Mio. €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will the next Super Smash Bros. game be released??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Before 2030 mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will the next Super Smash Bros. game be released? entschieden?
- When will the next Super Smash Bros. game be released? soll am 2. Februar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will the next Super Smash Bros. game be released? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: A remake / deluxe re-release / remaster / switch 2 edition / port / virtual console release / etc. of an older game doesn't count - it has to be a new game.