Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose2029 37.7%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
32
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet26. Juni 23, 19:13 UTC1. Jan. 30, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will Elder Scrolls VI be released?
KalshiElder Scrolls VI released by December 31?
PolymarketWill The Elder Scrolls 6 release before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Bethesda publicly release The Elder Scrolls VI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the “All Reviews” rating for The Elder Scrolls VI on Steam, 6 months after the release date?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRegeln
What year will TES6 release? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Elder_Scrolls
- It's release date is supposedly far away and unknown.
- When the game releases, that year will resolve YES and all others will resolve NO.
- At the end of each year without release the appropriate answer will resolve NO.
- At the end of 2029, if there is still no release the final answer of the named outcome will resolve YES.
Offene Märkte
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 319.774,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 98.048,5 €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.986 €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 130.628,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.327 €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4 Mio. €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will The Elder Scrolls 6 (TES6) release??
- Manifold Markets bewertet 2029 mit 38% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will The Elder Scrolls 6 (TES6) release? entschieden?
- When will The Elder Scrolls 6 (TES6) release? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will The Elder Scrolls 6 (TES6) release? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: What year will TES6 release? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Elder_Scrolls