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Manifold Markets bewertet Before 2040 mit 36.9% (Stand: 29. Oktober 2026).

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When will 14-day weather forecasts reach 60% accuracy?

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This market asks when 14-day weather forecasts will reach at least 60% accuracy as determined by official statements from major meteorological organizations (NOAA, Met Office, ECMWF, etc.).

Current accuracy levels for reference:
7-day forecasts: ~80% accurate
10-day forecasts: ~50% accurate
https://scijinks.gov/forecast-reliability/
https://ourworldindata.org/weather-forecasts

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When will 14-day weather forecasts reach 60% accuracy?

When will 14-day weather forecasts reach 60% accuracy?

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Where will it rain on Oct 30, 2026?

Highest temperature in Wellington on October 30?

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Highest temperature in Beijing on October 30?

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Offene Märkte

Where will it rain on Oct 30, 2026?

Highest temperature in Wellington on October 30?

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 30?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 30?

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 30?

Highest temperature in Beijing on October 30?