Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
2027 40.5%-10.6ptFührend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
37
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+0.4 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
22. Juni 24, 04:58 UTC31. Dez. 26, 10:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a new Super Smash Bros. game be released before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will be ranked number 1 in the 2026 Super Smash Bros. Melee Rankings?
Manifold MarketsWill a player win a Super Smash Bros Melee major using a digital / leverless controller before January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
PolymarketWho will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
PolymarketPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRegeln
A remake of an old game counts as a new game, a port that doesn't make any meaningful changes (e.g. new characters/stages, upgraded graphics) doesn't.
- I decide what counts as a new game for this market.
Offene Märkte
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 319.774,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 98.048,5 €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.986 €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 130.628,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.327 €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4 Mio. €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What year will the next Super Smash Bros. game be released??
- Manifold Markets bewertet 2027 mit 41% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird What year will the next Super Smash Bros. game be released? entschieden?
- What year will the next Super Smash Bros. game be released? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What year will the next Super Smash Bros. game be released? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: A remake of an old game counts as a new game, a port that doesn't make any meaningful changes (e.g. new characters/stages, upgraded graphics) doesn't.