Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für US solar capacity reaches 500 GWdc before 2030??

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 55.2% (Stand: 8. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird US solar capacity reaches 500 GWdc before 2030? entschieden?

US solar capacity reaches 500 GWdc before 2030? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Nein 55.2%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

binary

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden

Veraltet

21. Nov. 25, 13:10 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:59 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Regeln

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that cumulative installed U.S. solar PV capacity reached at least 500 GWdc before January 1st 2030.

For the purposes of this market:
“Cumulative installed U.S. solar PV capacity” refers to the total nameplate direct‑current (DC) capacity of all grid‑connected solar photovoltaic systems in the United States (utility‑scale, community, commercial, and residential) that are in service and counted as installed by the end of calendar year 2029.
The primary reference for resolution should be the cumulative capacity figures in SEIA / Wood Mackenzie’s US Solar Market Insight (Year‑in‑Review or Q4 report).
If that report clearly states that year‑end 2029 U.S. solar PV capacity was ≥ 500 GWdc, this market resolves YES.
If it clearly states it was < 500 GWdc, this market resolves NO.