The Ministry for the Future Predictions: Will a Heatwave Kill More Than a Million in India by 2040?
WetterOne-Off13J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 89.8%
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet8. Feb. 24, 12:30 UTC1. Jan. 40, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
The Ministry for the Future Predictions: Will a Heatwave Kill More Than a Million around the world by 2040?
Manifold MarketsThe Ministry for the Future Predictions: Will a Drone Swarm Assassinate a Public Figure by 2040?
Manifold MarketsThe Ministry for the Future Predictions: will there be a cryptocurrency tied to CO2 capture and storage by 2040?
Manifold MarketsAssuming a misaligned AI outbreak inadvertently kill >1 million people by 2035, who will be at fault?
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Oct 19, 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Based on the horrifying open for The Ministry for the Future by Kim Stanley Robinson.
- Resolves Yes if a credible outlet reports >1 million Indian deaths from heat exhaustion in a single heatwave.