"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide)
UnterhaltungOne-OffBox Office / Streaming5MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 93.9%
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
29. Aug. 26, 01:36 UTC1. März 27, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.6 billion worldwide?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
Polymarket"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?
Manifold MarketsWill Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be delayed?
PolymarketAvengers: Doomsday: Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Spider-Man: Brand New Day (2026) achieves a lifetime worldwide box office gross of $2,797,501,328 ($2.79 billion) or more by February 28, 2027.
- If it does not reach this milestone by that date, the market resolves to NO.
- Resolution will be determined using the official worldwide box office figures reported on:
- Box Office Mojo All-Time Worldwide Chart
- The Numbers All-Time Worldwide Chart
Offene Märkte
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 319.774,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 98.048,5 €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.986 €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 130.628,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.327 €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4 Mio. €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 94% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide) entschieden?
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide) soll am 1. März 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria