Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 83.9%
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet2. Dez. 24, 19:11 UTC1. Jan. 27, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Taylor Swift have a child with Kelce before the end of 2026?
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KalshiRegeln
This market resolves to YES if Taylor Swift publicly confirms or credible sources report that she used a surrogate for any pregnancy resulting in a child born before January 1, 2027.
- If she becomes pregnant and gives birth herself, the market resolves to NO.
- If Taylor Swift does not get pregnant/a surrogate does not become pregnant with a child Taylor plans to raise before January 1, 2027, the market resolves to N/A. • “Credible sources” include major news outlets or statements from Swift or her representatives.
- • Speculative rumors without credible backing will not suffice for a YES resolution.
- • Wording note: one commenter has said “if she uses a surrogate she isn’t pregnant” and while this is technically accurate, it has become common parlance for celebrities to describe surrogacy as a pregnancy, or announce a pregnancy and later reveal that a surrogate was involved.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für If Taylor Swift is expecting a child before 2027, will she use a surrogate??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 84% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird If Taylor Swift is expecting a child before 2027, will she use a surrogate? entschieden?
- If Taylor Swift is expecting a child before 2027, will she use a surrogate? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird If Taylor Swift is expecting a child before 2027, will she use a surrogate? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves to YES if Taylor Swift publicly confirms or credible sources report that she used a surrogate for any pregnancy resulting in a child born before January 1, 2027.