Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für If Argentina attempts to invade the Falkland Islands before 2040, will it succeed??

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 64.5% (Stand: 1. November 2026).

If Argentina attempts to invade the Falkland Islands before 2040, will it succeed?

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Nein 64.5%

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Quellentyp

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Aktualisiert vor 37 Minuten

3. Sept. 23, 12:05 UTC1. Jan. 40, 15:59 UTC

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Resolves YES on British media consensus that Argentina seized and held the Falkland Islands for at least a week.

Resolves NO on British media consensus that Argentina attempted to invade and failed, even if that attempt foundered before soldiers left Argentinian airspace.
Otherwise resolves NA