Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseAlabasta Saga 96.6%Führend unter 16 Optionen
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet24. März 26, 00:12 UTC23. März 27, 22:02 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What year will the live-action Legend of Zelda movie be released?
Manifold MarketsWill the Netflix One Piece live action adaptation be cancelled before a third season?
Manifold MarketsWho will be cast in the live-action Legend of Zelda movie, as what role?
Manifold MarketsMiles Morales live-action film actor?
PolymarketPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on the arcs that the Netflix live-action One Piece series covers before cancellation or conclusion.
- Season 1 covered the East Blue Saga, and Season 2 (released March 10, 2026) covers Loguetown through the Drum Island Arc.
- Resolution will be determined by the highest arc/saga completed and aired on Netflix.
- After two seasons, the live-action adaptation has covered 154 chapters of the original manga, representing roughly 13% of the total story.
- Creator Eiichiro Oda has confirmed that the live-action version has an intended endpoint.
Offene Märkte
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 319.774,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 98.048,5 €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.986 €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 130.628,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 45.327 €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4 Mio. €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How far will the live-action One Piece go??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Alabasta Saga mit 97% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird How far will the live-action One Piece go? entschieden?
- How far will the live-action One Piece go? soll am 23. März 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How far will the live-action One Piece go? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria