Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseAbove normal (115 < ACE < 318.1) 87.3%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-0.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet2. Mai 26, 05:32 UTC30. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
PolymarketWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
PolymarketWhat month will be most active in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?
Manifold MarketsWhere will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
PolymarketWhich storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Manifold MarketsHow active will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season be?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Activity is tracked in terms of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accumulated_cyclone_energy.
- This Wikipedia page has a list of previous Pacific hurricane seasons by ACE.
- (Western Pacific storms are not called hurricanes and do not count for the purpose of this market.)
- If the value is 10 or more ACE away from one of the cutoff values, this market resolves in January 2025 to whatever value is listed on Wikipedia.
- If it is close to a cutoff, the market resolves after the reanalysis of all storms is completed (usually in April) to account for postseason adjustments in ACE.
- The last ten years had the following activity: Below normal: 2020 Near normal: 2017, 2019, 2021, 2024 Above normal: 2016, 2022, 2023, 2025 Record high: 2018
Offene Märkte
Weather
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- New York City+68.0pt99%
- Boston+46.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+11.0pt99%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 251.422,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 244.252,9 €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- 91° or above+29.0pt92.4%
- 89° to 90°-20.0pt3.8%
- 87° to 88°-9.0pt0.9%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 10, 2026?
- 90° to 91°+40.0pt79.8%
- 92° to 93°16.5%
- 88° to 89°-31.0pt0.9%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 100.984,2 €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 10, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+27.0pt66.3%
- 84° or below-12.0pt15.4%
- 87° to 88°-12.0pt15.4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Fay+2.0pt37%
- Gonzalo+2.0pt27%
- Hanna+4.0pt16%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHighest temperature in Oklahoma City on Sep 10, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+23.0pt44.8%
- 87° to 88°-3.0pt18.1%
- 89° to 90°+11.0pt16.4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 11?
- Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in London on September 11?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How active will the 2026 Pacific hurricane season be??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Above normal (115 < ACE < 318.1) mit 87% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird How active will the 2026 Pacific hurricane season be? entschieden?
- How active will the 2026 Pacific hurricane season be? soll am 30. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How active will the 2026 Pacific hurricane season be? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Activity is tracked in terms of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accumulated_cyclone_energy.