By 2028 will someone who first started directing after completing a Masterclass/Online Course win an Oscar for direction
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31. März 24, 00:22 UTC2. Jan. 28, 12:59 UTC
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Given https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener and how AI capabilities would need to evolve to be able to create a full movie what training materials and methodologies will be required vs what might be available online.
- A director is the closest analogy in human terms I could come up with to an AI pumping out a whole movie, so if we restrict our pool of human directors to people initially trained on the same information an AI might have then there is a reasonable comparison group to consider capability gain.
- Do you think that a director who wins an Oscar between now and 2028 will publicly acknowledge having gotten started using an online course on directing?
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für By 2028 will someone who first started directing after completing a Masterclass/Online Course win an Oscar for direction?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 86% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird By 2028 will someone who first started directing after completing a Masterclass/Online Course win an Oscar for direction entschieden?
- By 2028 will someone who first started directing after completing a Masterclass/Online Course win an Oscar for direction soll am 2. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird By 2028 will someone who first started directing after completing a Masterclass/Online Course win an Oscar for direction abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Given https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener and how AI capabilities would need to evolve to be able to create a full movie what training materials and methodologies will be required vs what might be available online.