Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 65.5%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet1. Sept. 26, 04:43 UTC31. Aug. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
New York J: To Break Playoff Drought
KalshiExceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 8, 2026
PolymarketHow many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026?
PolymarketWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 10% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 15% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 20% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExRegeln
At the end of August 2028, will California be in a widespread drought?
- Yes: As reported by the US Drought Monitor, large parts of California are in at least a moderate drought as per the U.S. Drought Monitor at UNL.
- No: Most of California is either not in a drought, or at most "abnormally dry".
- The measure is if there's a drought in August, so this won't close early if there's a widespread drought sooner.
- https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?West
- Resolution criteria
Offene Märkte
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 232.515,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 227.313,9 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 186.088,3 €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 66.667,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 28.645,4 €
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für At the end of August 2028, will California be in a widespread drought??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 66% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird At the end of August 2028, will California be in a widespread drought? entschieden?
- At the end of August 2028, will California be in a widespread drought? soll am 31. August 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird At the end of August 2028, will California be in a widespread drought? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: At the end of August 2028, will California be in a widespread drought?