Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 91.4%
Prognostiker
20
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet10. Aug. 23, 00:44 UTC31. Dez. 30, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will people like the Greenland resolution?
Manifold MarketsEU meets its 2030 climate goals?
KalshiIndia meets its 2030 climate goals?
KalshiUS meets its climate goals?
KalshiWill the climate change activists "Last Generation" ("Letzte Generation") be classified as a criminal organization?
Manifold MarketsWill climate change decimate humans before 2070?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com.
- They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
- I will not be trading in those markets.
- If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.
Offene Märkte
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 232.515,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 227.313,9 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 186.088,3 €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 66.667,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 28.645,4 €
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Are "Permanent ‘climate lockdowns’ coming, whether people like it or not."??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 91% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Are "Permanent ‘climate lockdowns’ coming, whether people like it or not."? entschieden?
- Are "Permanent ‘climate lockdowns’ coming, whether people like it or not."? soll am 31. Dezember 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Are "Permanent ‘climate lockdowns’ coming, whether people like it or not."? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com.