KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Trump (5+ times) (99%)
Entschieden: 15.09.2026, 23:57
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Trump (5+ times) 99%Führend unter 17 Optionen
Marktqualitat
39 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
114.956,7 €
Liquidität
80.265,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Tagen
Veraltet15. Sept. 26, 17:30 UTC16. Sept. 26, 15:22 UTC
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Emmy / Emmys9%
Fed / Federal Reserve / Interest Rate60%
Diesel58%
Inflation88%
Saudi66%
Yemen / Yemeni / Houthi95%
Trump (5+ times)88%
OpenAI91%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline72%
Supreme Court88%
Hoax61%
AI / Artificial Intelligence79%
Kash / Patel88%
Kennedy79%
Anthropic / Claude60%
Iran (3+ times)61%
Space0%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
9%
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Major news story in Sep 2026?
KalshiWho will be in the US News top 20 universities?
KalshiWill I be published in a major news outlet by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat news stories of the 2020s will be included in respected history textbooks published in the 2050s?
Manifold MarketsWill the Kennedy Center reopen officially before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsHarry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
KalshiRegeln
If any host or reporter says Trump (5+ times) as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- Video of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
