KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertDieser Markt ist geschlossen und wartet auf eine bestätigte Auflösung.
Nicht verifizierte Auflösungsdaten
Dieses Ergebnis ist abgeleitet oder nicht durch anbietergestützte Auflösungsnachweise gedeckt.
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBenjamin Netanyahu 0%+0.1ptFührend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
27 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
11.330,7 €
Liquidität
3411,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 0.3%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 26 Tagen
Veraltet1. März 26, 20:001. Juli 26, 14:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
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0%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· Benjamin Netanyahu
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 0% | — | 11.330,7 € | 3411,6 € | vor 26 Tagen | |
 Polymarket82% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 0% | — | 1298,4 € | 0 € | vor 26 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Who will enter Iran by June 30?
0.1 ptsGeschlossen
0%
-0.1pt0%
-0.1pt0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
15 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen15,4 Mio. €
24h-Volumen1298,4 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If Marco Rubio has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Iran before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits.
- For cities, official municipal boundaries apply.
- For states/provinces, official boundaries apply.
- For countries, internationally recognized borders apply.
- International airports are considered within their host jurisdiction.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
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POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
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POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
105.657,1 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
45.825,3 €Above 50: 17%KALSHI
KALSHI
US-Iran nuclear deal?
42.223,5 €Before Aug 1, 2026: 0%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If Marco Rubio has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Iran before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits.
- For cities, official municipal boundaries apply.
- For states/provinces, official boundaries apply.
- For countries, internationally recognized borders apply.
- International airports are considered within their host jurisdiction.