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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1?
Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1?

Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1?

0.1% (24h)PolitikOne-OffUnterhaltungMusicLatin America
KalshiKalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr

Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Nicolás Maduro (99%)

Entschieden: 01.06.2026, 14:54

Gewinnausgang

Nicolás Maduro

7 Tage vorher

—

24 Stunden vorher

—

Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
2+ people
2+ people 0%-0.1%
Führend unter 15 Optionen
Marktqualitat

56 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

263,2 €

Liquidität

4213 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

- / 0.1%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 11 Tagen

Veraltet
11. Jan. 26, 15:001. Juni 26, 13:59

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Nicolás Maduro99%
Delcy Rodríguez0%
0%25%50%75%100%30. Mai31. Mai1. Juni
Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Nicolás Maduro
Nicolás Maduro
99%
Edmundo González
Edmundo González
-1.5%
1%
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
-1.5%
1%
Vladimir Padrino López
Vladimir Padrino López
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%
Juan Guaidó
Juan Guaidó
1%

Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.

Regeln

If only Delcy Rodríguez officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Jun 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the purposes of this contract, "officially holds" means any of the following:
  • only Delcy Rodríguez has been formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela only Delcy Rodríguez is listed in official government directories, organizational charts, or equivalent authoritative sources as the head of state of Venezuela only Delcy Rodríguez is actively serving as the head of state of Venezuela with full authority and responsibilities (not suspended, on leave, or in acting/interim capacity unless explicitly specified)
  • The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role:
  • Nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective Appointed with an effective date after Jun 1, 2026 Previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Jun 1, 2026 Serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity Named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed Holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself
  • Clarification (04/15/26): To help clarify this market, if the Expiration Date were today at this time, this market would resolve Yes to Nicolás Maduro and No to all other strikes.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

If only Delcy Rodríguez officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Jun 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the purposes of this contract, "officially holds" means any of the following:
  • only Delcy Rodríguez has been formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela only Delcy Rodríguez is listed in official government directories, organizational charts, or equivalent authoritative sources as the head of state of Venezuela only Delcy Rodríguez is actively serving as the head of state of Venezuela with full authority and responsibilities (not suspended, on leave, or in acting/interim capacity unless explicitly specified)
  • The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role:
  • Nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective Appointed with an effective date after Jun 1, 2026 Previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Jun 1, 2026 Serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity Named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed Holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself
  • Clarification (04/15/26): To help clarify this market, if the Expiration Date were today at this time, this market would resolve Yes to Nicolás Maduro and No to all other strikes.