KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Fraud · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Fraud 88%Führend unter 18 Optionen
Fraud 88%Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
4609,4 €
Open Interest
4965 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
FraudSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 27 Minuten
20. Okt. 26, 03:30 UTC3. Nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Fraud
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will JD Vance say during his fraud press conference?
KalshiWhat will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?
KalshiWhat will Trump say during his announcement?
KalshiWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketWhat party will win the special election to fill JD Vance's Senate seat?
Manifold MarketsJD Vance out as VP by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
If JD Vance says Fraud as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Fraud
- If JD Vance says Fraud as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Medicare / Medicaid
- If JD Vance says Medicare / Medicaid as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Taxpayer
- If JD Vance says Taxpayer as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrat
- If JD Vance says Democrat as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump (3+ times)
- If JD Vance says Trump (3+ times) as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- If JD Vance says Afford / Affordable / Affordability as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Healthcare
- If JD Vance says Healthcare as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Economy / Economic
- If JD Vance says Economy / Economic as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Midterm
- If JD Vance says Midterm as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Biden
- If JD Vance says Biden as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Socialist / Socialism
- If JD Vance says Socialist / Socialism as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- AI / Artificial Intelligence
- If JD Vance says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Working Class / Middle Class
- If JD Vance says Working Class / Middle Class as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- American Dream
- If JD Vance says American Dream as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- ID / Identification
- If JD Vance says ID / Identification as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- America First
- If JD Vance says America First as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ceasefire
- If JD Vance says Ceasefire as part of Oval Office announcement originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.