KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Fraud (99%)
Begrenzte Auflösungsnachweise
CoinRithm kann das aufgezeichnete Ergebnis zeigen, aber nicht jedes Auflösungsfeld ist vom Anbieter verifiziert.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 09.11.2026, 16:01 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Fraud99%
Loan99%
China / Chinese99%
Marine2%
Democrat52%
Manufacture / Manufacturing3%
Biden3%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline0%
Tax Cut0%
American Dream0%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability0%
Working Class / Middle Class0%
Inflation0%
Iran / Iranian0%
Tariff0%
2028 / Campaign0%
AI / Artificial Intelligence0%
Event does not qualify0%
FraudGewonnen
LoanVerloren
China / ChineseVerloren
DemocratVerloren
Manufacture / ManufacturingVerloren
BidenVerloren
MarineVerloren
Oil / Gas / GasolineVerloren
Tax CutVerloren
American DreamVerloren
Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityVerloren
Working Class / Middle ClassVerloren
InflationVerloren
Iran / IranianVerloren
TariffVerloren
2028 / CampaignVerloren
AI / Artificial IntelligenceVerloren
Event does not qualifyVerloren
Verwandte Märkte
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PolymarketRegeln
If JD Vance says Fraud as part of keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersThe New York Timesthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Fraud
- If JD Vance says Fraud as part of keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Loan
- If JD Vance says Loan as part of keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- China / Chinese
- If JD Vance says China / Chinese as part of keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrat
- If JD Vance says Democrat as part of keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Manufacture / Manufacturing
- If JD Vance says Manufacture / Manufacturing as part of keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Biden
- If JD Vance says Biden as part of keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Marine
- If JD Vance says Marine as part of keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- If JD Vance says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tax Cut
- If JD Vance says Tax Cut as part of keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- American Dream
- If JD Vance says American Dream as part of keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- If JD Vance says Afford / Affordable / Affordability as part of keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Working Class / Middle Class
- If JD Vance says Working Class / Middle Class as part of keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Inflation
- If JD Vance says Inflation as part of keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran / Iranian
- If JD Vance says Iran / Iranian as part of keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tariff
- If JD Vance says Tariff as part of keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2028 / Campaign
- If JD Vance says 2028 / Campaign as part of keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- AI / Artificial Intelligence
- If JD Vance says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of keynote address at the National Veterans’ Small Business Week kickoff originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.