KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: 4.7% or above (98%)
Entschieden: 30.10.2026, 22:04
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
4.7% or above
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
97%
KonsensWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 30.10.2026, 19:17 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
4.78% or above8%
4.82% or above52%
4.68% or above87%
4.86% or above2%
4.72% or above46%
4.76% or above36%
4.74% or above1%
4.7% or above98%
4.66% or above93%
4.8% or above0%
4.92% or above16%
4.94% or above6%
4.7% or aboveGewonnen
4.68% or aboveVerloren
4.66% or aboveVerloren
4.84% or aboveVerloren
4.82% or aboveVerloren
4.72% or aboveVerloren
4.76% or aboveVerloren
4.88% or aboveVerloren
4.92% or aboveVerloren
4.94% or aboveVerloren
4.78% or aboveVerloren
4.86% or aboveVerloren
4.74% or aboveVerloren
4.8% or aboveVerloren
4.9% or aboveVerloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the 10Y US Treasury yield hit 5.50% by Oct 31, 2026?
KalshiWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
PolymarketWill the US Treasury issue a new General License authorizing broad oil operations in Venezuela in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill US 10-year treasury yield exceed 6 percent before 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketMakro-Sensible Assets
Regeln
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.69% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- 4.7% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.69% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.68% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.67% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.66% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.65% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.84% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.83% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.82% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.81% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.72% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.71% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.76% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.75% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.88% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.87% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.92% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.91% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.94% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.78% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.77% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.86% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.74% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.73% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.8% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.79% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.9% or above
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.