KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Above -1.5% (96%)
Entschieden: 21.08.2026, 12:47
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 21.08.2026, 05:50 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above -1.5% 96%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
19 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
532 €
Liquidität
1752,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet24. Juli 26, 20:4521. Aug. 26, 5:59
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Above 1.5%15%
Above 1.0%18%
Above -1.0%86%
Above 0.5%30%
Above 0.0%41%
96%
82%
41%
30%
18%
15%
7%
0%
Regeln
If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above -1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above -1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
Macro & EconomyKALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No90%
- Yes+1.0pt10%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 18.620,8 €
POLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in August?
- 25 bps hike-6.0pt70.3%
- No Change+7.5pt29.7%
- 50+ bps cut-0.5pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIFear & Greed Index on Aug 21, 2026?
- Neutral+48.0pt95.2%
- Greed-13.0pt1.9%
- Extreme Greed-1.0pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 25.298,7 €
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60-1.0pt49%
- Above $4.80+16.0pt49%
- Above $5.00-1.0pt29%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above+5.6pt65%
- 8,200 or above+2.8pt37%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 917.545,7 €
KALSHIWhich companies will conduct layoffs this year?
- Oracle+8.0pt99%
- TikTok98%
- Amazon-6.0pt92%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 43.716,6 €
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- TSA avg check-ins from Aug 17 to 23, 2026?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
- What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- How low will the S&P get this year?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für UK retail sales in July?
- Kalshi bewertet Above -1.5% mit 96% (Stand: 21. August 2026).
- Wann wird UK retail sales in July entschieden?
- UK retail sales in July soll am 21. August 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird UK retail sales in July abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above -1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.