KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt ist geschlossen und wartet auf eine bestätigte Auflösung.
Wartet auf verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm wartet auf eine vom Anbieter bestätigte Auflösung, bevor dieser Markt als aufgelöst behandelt wird.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 28.10.2026, 15:36 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 82%
Ja 82%Marktqualitat
15 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Open Interest
24,1 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
- / 99.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet8. Sept. 26, 22:00 UTC29. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Ja82%
Nein18%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Wisconsin Question 1 (limit on partial veto to raise taxes/fees) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK raise the minimum income requirement for family visas above £40,000 before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?
KalshiWill the ECB raise the rate 25bps in October 2026?
ForecastExWill the IRS collect more in taxes this year than last year?
KalshiBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Die genaue Regel für dieses Ergebnis ist nicht verfügbar.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following: Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify. The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments The net effect on tax receipts is calculated using the tax components of HM Treasury's final Budget policy-decisions scorecard and accompanying policy costings. The calculation sums qualifying tax components across all forecast-year columns, counting each once regardless of the Tax or Spend row label. Tax-receipt increases count positively and tax-receipt reductions negatively; spending components are disregarded. OBR's online scorecard may supply the component breakdown, but HM Treasury's published tax-component costings control any discrepancy. Measures first officially announced before the Budget, including before market Issuance, are excluded even if reproduced in its documents or scorecard. Spending changes, forecast revisions and actual tax collections do NOT count. The sum must be strictly positive; zero or a negative sum resolves to NO. Measures need not be legislated or in force. Only the Budget presented on October 28, 2026 qualifies; a postponed Budget does NOT count.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Yes
- Die genaue Regel für dieses Ergebnis ist nicht verfügbar.
- No
- Die genaue Regel für dieses Ergebnis ist nicht verfügbar.
