KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 87 78%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
31 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1643,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
9.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
1. Sept. 26, 00:00 UTC8. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiWill US Gov pay off X/Twitter's debt by 2027?
Manifold MarketsConditional on Twitter/X still existing, will Elon Musk be in control of it at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Twitter lose more than a billion dollars on labor law-related lawsuits from Musk's Twitter tenure, before 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the Carbon Arc Twitter App Downloads (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome , then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
- The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Twitter App Downloads was equal to the same month last year.
- Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company.
Offene Märkte
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 180.117,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 180.117,2 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt57.6%
- 65-89+13.0pt34.3%
- 90-114+0.5pt4%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt97%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet+0.1pt1%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 182.086,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 60.431,6 €
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Twitter App Downloads in September?
- Kalshi bewertet Above 87 mit 78% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Twitter App Downloads in September entschieden?
- Twitter App Downloads in September soll am 8. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Twitter App Downloads in September abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Carbon Arc Twitter App Downloads (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome , then the market resolves to Yes.