KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAt least 10 3%-3.0%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
3526,6 €
Liquidität
4957 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
4.0% / 5.0%
Spread
25.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
5. Juli 26, 14:0012. Juli 26, 14:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
At least 103%
Volumentrend
$4.0k5. Juli4T Daten8. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Will Graham Platner drop out?
2,9 Mio. €Before Jul 14, 2026: 94%KALSHI
KALSHI
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2,1 Mio. €JD Vance: 20%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
1,2 Mio. €Robert F. Kennedy: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
855.645,3 €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which party will win the U.S. House?
156.151,2 €Democratic Party: 82%KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Republican presidential nominee
140.785,7 €Donald J. Trump Jr.: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If Donald Trump has taken at least 1 presidential actions from Jul 5, 2026 through Jul 11, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 12, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market solely resolves to the publication dates visibly displayed on the "Presidential Actions" tab at whitehouse.gov at at 10:00 AM ET on Jul 12, 2026.
- The week runs from Jul 5, 2026 through Jul 11, 2026.
- The actions may include proclamations, executive orders, nominations & appointments, and memoranda.
- Any item listed on the page counts, regardless of its legal effect.
- Examples (for Jan 10, 2026):