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  3. Who will be the world's first trillionaire?
Who will be the world's first trillionaire?

Who will be the world's first trillionaire?

1.0% (24h)YearlyBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy3J
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Elon Musk
Elon Musk 95%-1.0%
Führend unter 11 Optionen
Marktqualitat

49 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

44,4 €

Liquidität

1520,9 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

95.0% / 97.0%

Spread

2.1%

Enger Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

19. Nov. 24, 15:001. Jan. 30, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Elon Musk95%

Regeln

If Elon Musk is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Larry Ellison is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mark Zuckerberg is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Jeff Bezos is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Bernard Arnault & family is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Warren Buffett is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.

Verwandte Märkte

Manifold Markets

Who will be the first trillionaire?

4495,1 €
Elon Musk: 97.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

539 €
More than $1 trillion: 92%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will Elon Musk be worth $2.0t or more before 2028?

470,5 €
Ja: 30.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?

400,9 €
Apple: 97%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will acquire Pinterest this year?

Who will acquire Pinterest this year?

5,2 €
Amazon: 6%KalshiKALSHI
Which companies will be acquired this year?

Which companies will be acquired this year?

2 €
Universal Music Group: 15%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,682.54+2.38%EthereumETH$1,651.16+1.73%SolanaSOL$65.16+1.80%HyperliquidHYPE$55.26+0.10%XRPXRP$1.12+0.49%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.95%

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Regeln

If Elon Musk is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Larry Ellison is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mark Zuckerberg is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Jeff Bezos is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Bernard Arnault & family is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Warren Buffett is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.