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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Bonds & Treasuries
  3. Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?
Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?

Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?

Bonds & TreasuriesOne-OffKryptoFedStablecoinTokenization / RWA6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 15%
Marktqualitat

24 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

26,8 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

11.0% / 13.0%

Spread

18.2%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten

3. Dez. 25, 23:001. Jan. 27, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes15%

Regeln

Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For purposes of this Contract, "Treasury" includes sub-bodies of the Treasury including the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the Office of Financial Research, or a Treasury-authorized entity conducting a public transaction.
  • The Payout Criterion includes central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), stablecoins, tokenized U.S. government securities, and other assets the Treasury formally recognizes as blockchain-based.
  • The transaction must occur on a blockchain network that allows for public verification or is explicitly referred to by Treasury as blockchain-based.
  • The following will trigger the Payout Criterion:
  • If Treasury orders a blockchain-based disbursement, but the Federal Reserve executes it as its fiscal agent, then the market resolves to Yes.

Verwandte Märkte

Will RWAs hit $50B by ___?

Will RWAs hit $50B by ___?

0 €
December 31, 2026: 54%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

0 €
Ja: 14%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026

Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026

0 €
Exactly 1.50%: 0%KalshiKALSHI
Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

0 €
2.6-2.8%: 50%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
USDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?

USDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?

0 €
Above 60.0%: 70%KalshiKALSHI
How high will Tokenized Treasuries climb this year?

How high will Tokenized Treasuries climb this year?

0 €
Above 25 Billion: 49%KalshiKALSHI

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Regeln

Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For purposes of this Contract, "Treasury" includes sub-bodies of the Treasury including the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the Office of Financial Research, or a Treasury-authorized entity conducting a public transaction.
  • The Payout Criterion includes central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), stablecoins, tokenized U.S. government securities, and other assets the Treasury formally recognizes as blockchain-based.
  • The transaction must occur on a blockchain network that allows for public verification or is explicitly referred to by Treasury as blockchain-based.
  • The following will trigger the Payout Criterion:
  • If Treasury orders a blockchain-based disbursement, but the Federal Reserve executes it as its fiscal agent, then the market resolves to Yes.